Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.027595 0.029640 0.031697 0.033920 0.036252 0.038622 0.041211
2026-02-08 0.023588 0.026757 0.030067 0.033769 0.037784 0.041995 0.046735
2026-02-15 0.021124 0.024917 0.028981 0.033638 0.038803 0.044332 0.050677
2026-02-22 0.019279 0.023517 0.028160 0.033588 0.039718 0.046392 0.054168
2026-03-01 0.017575 0.022115 0.027192 0.033232 0.040169 0.047830 0.056877
2026-03-08 0.015895 0.020613 0.025993 0.032506 0.040099 0.048599 0.058759
2026-03-15 0.014477 0.019325 0.024955 0.031879 0.040067 0.049346 0.060560
2026-03-22 0.013925 0.019031 0.025051 0.032549 0.041517 0.051778 0.064285
2026-03-29 0.013143 0.018405 0.024706 0.032656 0.042272 0.053380 0.067033
2026-04-05 0.012357 0.017728 0.024258 0.032603 0.042805 0.054700 0.069438
2026-04-12 0.011895 0.017434 0.024258 0.033075 0.043956 0.056741 0.072691
2026-04-19 0.011229 0.016841 0.023855 0.033022 0.044447 0.057981 0.074986
2026-04-26 0.010552 0.016240 0.023463 0.033025 0.045071 0.059467 0.077693
2026-05-03 0.009850 0.015581 0.022981 0.032909 0.045554 0.060804 0.080260
2026-05-10 0.009204 0.014959 0.022513 0.032778 0.045992 0.062066 0.082723
2026-05-17 0.008642 0.014421 0.022126 0.032729 0.046513 0.063418 0.085290
2026-05-24 0.008011 0.013751 0.021533 0.032380 0.046629 0.064251 0.087210
2026-05-31 0.007300 0.012924 0.020690 0.031666 0.046246 0.064436 0.088309
2026-06-07 0.006677 0.012191 0.019944 0.031051 0.045963 0.064724 0.089520
2026-06-14 0.006511 0.012136 0.020141 0.031709 0.047350 0.067134 0.093400
2026-06-21 0.006183 0.011814 0.019942 0.031814 0.047997 0.068599 0.096093
2026-06-28 0.005828 0.011430 0.019640 0.031762 0.048424 0.069776 0.098422
2026-07-05 0.005645 0.011310 0.019711 0.032226 0.049542 0.071847 0.101896